The day is finally here! BTC crossed the long awaited 6-figure milestone earlier this morning, rallying to a high of 103,620. The rally above 100,000 triggered a short squeeze which led to the liquidation of US$90 million worth of BTC shorts over 2 hours.
Aggressive topside buying by short sellers cemented BTC’s current price as it stabilised below the 103,000 figure. This is reinforced by market makers hedging their short delta exposure as well.
BTC vols spiked up across all tenors during the rally, with front-end vols rising 10pts and back-end vols jumping 5pts. Vols continue to be elevated even as it has fallen through the day.
The desk observed two very distinct reactions to this morning’s price action:
a) For the front-end traders, they were frantically covering their short positions as the continued rally squeezed into their shorts
b) Mid-tenor traders were relatively muted as many were positioned for this move up
With market in an unchartered territory, we are now in a new price discovery zone. We have returned to a binary scenario, where the spot price could either be driven higher, or selling pressure could push it back below $100k.