What’s fueling the equities rally?
- Momentum traders and trend-followers are reportedly re-leveraging, amplified by August’s lower liquidity.
- Corporate share buybacks have surged to $1.15 trillion this year. Goldman Sachs’ trading unit has seen record client demand for dips.
Potential Implications:
- Risk-on sentiment could extend to crypto and gold, pushing BTC higher given the strong demand for topside calls.
- U.S. elections remains a key focus, with BTC skew favoring puts pre- election, and a steep 6 point vol spread between pre- and post-election expiries. The Democrats’ platform lacks cryptocurrency support, while the Republicans pledge to end the unlawful and un-American crypto crackdown’.
Trade Idea
Given the potential for market volatility and election-related risks, we suggest a defensive, high yield-generating and limited downside strategy for Q3.
Amplified Range Accrual (10 Weeks)
- Receive weekly 120.6% p.a. coupons every Friday if BTC fixes between 55,000 & 65,000 or lose 1% of your principal if it fixes outside the range (capped at 10% max loss over 10 weeks)
- Max Potential Payout: 120.6% p.a. in weekly coupon if BTC/USD fixes within the coupon range for every week
- Expiry: 25-Oct (10 weeks)
- Coupon Range: USD 55,000 to 65,000
Spot Ref: 61,000 BTCUSD